Working Papers

"Finance and Trade: the Role of Stock Markets and Importers" (job market paper)

This paper applies the gravity model of international trade to quantify the impact of the banking sector and the stock market on bilateral trade patterns. Following the study of capital structure, I evaluate the mix of external financing sources used for real investment at the macroeconomic level by differentiating between the relative roles of the banking sector and stock market development in determining trade patterns. Using aggregate bilateral trade data for 87 countries over 1976-2012, I find that stock market development has a substantial impact on trade, distinct from the effect of the banking sector. There is ample evidence to suggest that there is a heterogeneous effect of banking at different levels of stock market development, indicating a substitutability between the banking sector and the stock market as sources of finance. This is true for both the poor and non-poor country samples. Moreover, I find some evidence indicating the importance of the importer's stock market development for bilateral trade after dividing my sample by income groups.

"Finance, Growth, and Poverty: the Role of Financial Inclusion"

Amid reasonable consensus that financial development boosts economic performance, this paper aims to investigate whether growth is also propagated by a wider distribution of basic financial products, given a fixed level of financial development. In order to capture the distribution of financial products, I include financial inclusion variables. I also explore the collective impact of the financial variables on poverty. Controlling for time fixed effects and using an unbalanced panel dataset, I find that countries with lower financial inclusion are more likely to benefit from increase in financial development through increased growth rates. Countries with less people having bank accounts and savings are more likely to benefit from an increase in financial development through decrease in poverty. Borrowing only reduces poverty in countries that already have high access to financial products, but this is not true for less developed countries that have lower access to basic financial services. Lastly, financial inclusion increases growth rates for countries in the lower income bracket.

Works in progress

"Financial Development and the Margins of Trade" (with Rishav Bista)

"Can Monetary Policy Be a Curse for Commercial Lending?"